Showing posts with label fhlb. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fhlb. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Fed, ECB, Central Banks Coordinate to Add Liquidity

Another attempt to unwind the liquidity issue. They will have a problem if this won´t work......When i look at the collateral that they are accepting i can smell a rat......

Ein neuer und koordinierter Ansatz um die Liquiditätskrise zu lösen. Sicherlich die bisher mit Abstand vielversprechenste Idee. Sollte selbst diese Herangehensweise nicht helfen haben die Zentralbanken wohl ein Problem.......Wenn ich mir die neuen Kriterien für die zu hinterlegenden Papiere angucke kann man schon auf den Gedanken kommen das hier alle guten Vorsätze über Bord geworfen worden sind.......

Fear at the Fed from Floyd Norris NYT (hat tip to Calculated Risk)
...The Fed will lend money to banks based on almost any asset they own, even ones that are not liquid at all. That will include some of the more exotic loans and securities out there.

How much will the Fed lend against illiquid assets? It has a public list, already in use in discount window lending. You will note that it allows the lending of up to 85 percent of the face value of AAA-rated collateralized mortgage obligations, if there is no observable market value. There are some C.M.O.’s out there that have not yet been downgraded but that might not bring that much in a sale.

I’d love to see which assets are pledged, and how much the Fed lends against them. But the Fed won’t disclose those facts. Nor will it let us know which banks borrow using the new facility.

The Fed's New Auction System Minyanville´s Mr. Practical via Mish

So the Fed is considering a “new auction system”. Essentially, what the Fed is doing is taking the stigma away from the discount window--the Fed will lend directly to banks and the banks don’t have to tell anybody. Theoretically, the Fed could make these quiet loans for indefinite periods, thus giving banks more permanent capital (it’s really credit, but banks call it capital).

Waldman

...this is a bailout,. Nearly all government bailouts take the form of subsidized loans, extending credit at low rates to counterparties or against collateral for which the market would have demanded a high premium. That is precisely what the TAF will do. The Fed's press release claims, of course, that loans will only be available to "sound" banks, and that they will be "fully collateralized". But no one who can get the same deal from private markets will use this facility. The need for the program arises because private markets are skeptical about the soundness of counterparties and the quality of the assets they have to offer as collateral. The Fed hints at this when it mentions the "wide variety of collateral" that can be used to secure loans. You can bet that whatever it is private lenders are eschewing will be pledged as collateral to the Fed under TAF. The Fed is going to bear private risk that the market refuses to. That is a bailout.

Felix Salmon

to give you an idea of what the Fed will lend, consider a AAA-rated subprime-backed CDO – the kind of thing which is causing billions of dollars in losses all over the financial system. If the CDO has a market price, the Fed will lend up to 98% of that price if it's a short-term CDO, up to 96% if it's medium-term, and up to 93% if it's long-term.

But what if the CDO is completely illiquid, and you can't find a price for it at all? No worries, the Fed will still accept it as collateral, and lend up to 85% of par value. (There's an interesting thought experiment here: what happens if a long-term CDO has a market value of, say, 90 cents on the dollar? In that case, an illiquid version of that CDO would actually be worth more to the Fed than the liquid version.)

Do keep on looking down that list, though: it turns out that banks can even put up as collateral subprime credit-card receivables – they don't even need a AAA rating.

Yves from Naked Capitalism Maybe the Real Reason for the Central Bank (Especially the Fed's) Actions Wednesday has also a very good summary

Yyes von Naked Capitalism hat mit Maybe the Real Reason for the Central Bank (Especially the Fed's) Actions Wednesday ein weitere erstklassige Zusammenfassung an den Start gebracht

Now the roundtrip to the official press releases.

Nun zu den offiziellen Presseerklärungen

BOE
The total size of reserves offered in the operations on 18 December and on 15 January will be raised from £2.85 billion to £11.35 billion, of which £10bn will be offered at the 3-month maturity.

The Bank will accept a wider range of high quality securities as collateral against funds advanced at the 3-month maturity. The additional categories of eligible collateral are:

  • Bonds issued by sovereigns rated Aa3/AA- or above (in addition to those currently eligible), subject to settlement constraints.
  • Bonds issued by G10 government agencies guaranteed by national governments, rated AAA.
  • Conventional debt security issues of the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, the Federal National Mortgage Corporation and the Federal Home Loan Banking system, rated AAA.
  • AAA-rated tranches of UK, US and EEA asset-backed securities (ABS) backed by credit cards; and AAA-rated tranches of UK and EEA prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS).
  • Covered bonds rated AAA.

BOC Part 1 & BOC
Expansion of List of Securities Eligible as Collateral for Use Under Bank of Canada Standing Liquidity Facility

Under its Standing Liquidity Facility (SLF), the Bank of Canada is prepared to provide liquidity on a daily basis to financial institutions that participate directly in the payments systems operated by the Canadian Payments Association. Loans made by the Bank of Canada must be fully collateralized.

In the context of the ongoing review of the Bank of Canada's collateral policy, begun in the spring of 2007, the Bank has decided to broaden the range of securities acceptable as collateral for use under the SLF to include (i) certain types of asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) sponsored by banks and (ii) U.S. Treasuries.

By the end of March 2008, the Bank will expand the list of eligible securities to include certain types of Canadian dollar-denominated ABCP that meet the following general criteria: are bank-sponsored, are covered by a liquidity provision that meets global standards, and are backed by traditional assets of an acceptable credit quality. In addition, higher standards of disclosure and additional credit ratings will be required. Asset-backed commercial paper backed by collateralized debt obligations and other highly-structured assets will not be considered at this time.

Over the next two months, the Bank will consult with financial institutions and other interested parties on the terms and conditions that will apply to ABCP as collateral. By the end of March 2008, the Bank will announce the terms and conditions regarding the use of ABCP as collateral, including the margins that will be applied. The arrangements for accepting U.S. Treasuries as collateral are expected to be completed by mid-2008.

Fed

Under the Term Auction Facility (TAF) program, the Federal Reserve will auction term funds to depository institutions against the wide variety of collateral that can be used to secure loans at the discount window. All depository institutions that are judged to be in generally sound financial condition by their local Reserve Bank and that are eligible to borrow under the primary credit discount window program will be eligible to participate in TAF auctions. All advances must be fully collateralized. By allowing the Federal Reserve to inject term funds through a broader range of counterparties and against a broader range of collateral than open market operations, this facility could help promote the efficient dissemination of liquidity when the unsecured interbank markets are under stress.

Alternative Instruments for Open Marketand Discount Window Operations / Fed Page 43

Acceptable discount window collateral generally can best be described as any asset that can confidently be liquidated within a reasonable period of time at the value at which it is accepted.As a general rule, the greater the level of risk associated with a certain type of underlying collateral, the lower the (lendable) valuation assigned to the collateral. Accurately measured, the margins or haircuts used in the valuation process should reflect the true relative risks of the various asset types, and they should contribute to relative asset price neutrality across the broad spectrum of assets deemed eligible for collateral.

Each TAF auction will be for a fixed amount, with the rate determined by the auction process (subject to a minimum bid rate). The first TAF auction of $20 billion is scheduled for Monday, December 17, with settlement on Thursday, December 20; this auction will provide 28-day term funds, maturing Thursday, January 17, 2008. The second auction of up to $20 billion is scheduled for Thursday, December 20, with settlement on Thursday, December 27; this auction will provide 35-day funds, maturing Thursday, January 31, 2008. The third and fourth auctions will be held on January 14 and 28, with settlement on the following Thursdays. The amounts of those auctions will be determined in January. The Federal Reserve may conduct additional auctions in subsequent months, depending in part on evolving market conditions.

ECB

The Eurosystem shall conduct two US dollar liquidity-providing operations, in connection with the US dollar Term Auction Facility, against ECB-eligible collateral for a maturity of 28 and 35 days ECB Eligibility Criteria Collateral The submission of bids will take place on 17 and 20 December 2007 for settlement on 20 and 27 December 2007, respectively. The operational details can be obtained from the ECB’s website (www.ecb.europa.eu). The US dollars will be provided by the Federal Reserve to the ECB, up to $20 billion, by means of a temporary reciprocal currency arrangement (swap line).

SNB $ 4 billion

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Tuesday, November 6, 2007

IndyMac Increases Credit Reserves 47 Percent to $1.39 Billion

This number from the top Alt-A originator ( 14 percent) gives a hint how ugly the situation has become beyond subprime.

That might give a hint how bad the situation for several other players is that have bought back shares hand over fist during the past years and are more involed in subprime, havn´t sold their originations etc......

bigger / größer via Calculated Risk
Forecasted Home price depreciation ranging between 6% and 10% is factored into our loss expectations that drive valuation and reserves – average HPI declines expected to be around 9%

Diese Zahlen von dem Top Alt-A Kreditgeber ( 14 %) geben ein paar klare Indizien das neben Subrpime auch andere Segmente massiv an Qualität verlieren.

Das läßt erahnen wie übel es für andere Institute aussehen muß die im Gegensatz zu IndyMac in den letzten Jahren haufenweise Aktien zurückgekauft havben und sinnlose wertvernichtende Übernahmen getätigt haben aussehen mag. Ganz zu schweigen von denen die Ihre Riskiken nicht weiterreichen konnten und noch stärker im Subprime Sektor engagiert waren.....

We Hold Direct Credit Risk On $19.02 Billion Of Total Single Family Loans Serviced In Our Whole Loans And In Non-Investment Grade And Residual Securities


> Watch the large percentage of homebuilder credit costs....

> Man beachte den gewaltigen Anteil der Rückstellungen für die Homebuilder.....


In the call they said that they had claer signs in 2005 that the market for builders has peaked, but they have ignored it. Now they are paying a high price. They have stopped making any loans to builders and have no intend to re-enter the market soon.

Im CC hat das Management zugegeben das bereits Ende 2005 ganz klare Anzeichen für Probpleme bei den Buildern zu erkennen waren. Dummerweise wurden diese ignoriert und es wirde munter weiter verliehen. Nun kommt die Rechnung. Immerhin haben Sie versprochen dieses Segment nicht weiter zu bedienen und bis auf weiteres keine neuen Kredite zu begeben.



IndyMac Bancorp Reports Third Quarter Loss of $202.7 Million, ($2.77) Per Share

  • Total pre-tax credit costs were $407.7 million (versus $103.5 million in the second quarter of 2007), or a negative impact on earnings per share (“EPS”) of $3.40.
  • Spread widening in the private-label (non-GSE) mortgage secondary market resulted in a loss of gain on sale and MBS securities revenue estimated at $167.2 million pre-tax for the third quarter, or a negative EPS impact of $1.39.
  • After surviving the global liquidity crisis in 1998 as a REIT, we purchased a federally chartered thrift and put our entire business inside the thrift, with the result that we have no liquidity issues today, while many mortgage companies have gone bankrupt or recorded massive losses due to liquidity shortfalls.
  • We protected and bolstered our capital by not repurchasing any shares since 2002 and, in fact, raised a substantial amount of capital in 2007.
  • We held virtually no subprime, closed-end seconds or HELOCs for investment purposes ($112 million, or 0.3 percent of total assets at September 30, 2007).
  • We were not a major subprime lender, ranking 32nd among subprime lenders (according to the National Mortgage News 2006 survey). Our subprime volume in 2006 was $2.7 billion, or 0.39 percent of the total subprime market.
  • While we originated $43 billion of Option ARMs from 2005 through Q3-07, we sold all but $1.0 billion (held for investment) and $2.6 billion (held for sale), and we retained no non-investment grade or residual securities related to these loans.
  • We laid off virtually all Alt-A 2005/2006 credit risk into the secondary market, retaining only $7.0 million in non-investment grade and residual securities from this production.
  • We hold no investments in collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) or structured investment vehicles (SIVs) and only hold mortgage backed securities (93.5 percent of the investment grade MBS are rated AAA and AA, none of which have been downgraded).
  • We made one of the only successful acquisitions this decade in the mortgage business – Financial Freedom, the largest reverse mortgage lender in the nation – while virtually all other significant acquisitions have produced very poor results.
> Almost all of the new liquidity is coming from the Federal Home Loan Banks ......

> Fast die ganze zusätzliche Liquidität kommt von Seiten der Federal Home Loan Banks ......

Our operating liquidity is at an all time high of $6.3 billion at 9/30/07, up 54% from $4.1 billion at 6/30/07, and we have no reverse repurchase borrowings or extendable assetbacked commercial paper…95% of our borrowings are deposits, FHLB advances and long-term debt

> the next slide shows a nice Level 3 aka "Mark-to-Make-Believe Gains" etc gain. Wonder why they havn´t used an assumption that would have cover the entire loss from the credit costs.......... Maybe they are conservatice.......

> Nebenbei bemerkt zeigt die nächste Grafik das auch hier mal wieder ein nicht ganz unerheblicher Level 3 aka Mark-to-Make-Believe Gains etc Gewinnbestandteil. Schon erfreulich das Sie nicht gleich eine Berechnungsgrundlage berechnet haben die gleich die gesamten Verluste im Zusammenhang mit den Kreditkosten abdeckt...... Evtl. ist IndyMac ja betont konservativ......



I want to highlight the IndyMac Presentation / pdf that is full of details about every aspect of the mortgage market

Ich möchste Euch in diesem Zusammenhang die IndyMac Präsentation / pdf ans Herz legen die vollgepackt mit Details zur aktuellen Verfassung der Hypothekenmärkte ist.



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Tuesday, October 30, 2007

Federal Home Loan Banks Act As A Lender Of Last Resort......

You already know what is coming when you read this statement from FHLB ......

Jeder der diese Zielsetzung der FHLB liest weiß was kommen muß........

The mission of the Federal Home Loan Banks is to improve access to housing for all Americans by providing FHLBank members with lowcost mortgage funding and by supporting community development.
Everytime you think the fallout from the housing debt will hit the banks another "vehicle/institution" shows up that acts as a lender of last resort. Maybe the Bank of England should use this as a blueprint to solve their "problems". Stories like this remind me why i´m bullish on gold.......

Immer wenn man glaubt alles gesehen zu haben kommt der nächste Hammer und man fragt sich ob das wirklich stimmen kann. Schon praktisch wenn man sich bei Problemen praktisch unbegrenzt zu AAA Konditionen unabhängig vom Risiko mit Liquidität eindecken kann. Evtl. sollte die Bank of England dieses Modell zur Lösung Ihrer Probleme übernehmen. Solche Nachrichten bestätigen mich Tag für Tag in meinem bullishen Ausblick für Gold......

U.S. Tosses Lifeline to Lenders Using Home Loan Banks
Oct. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Banks shut out of the market for short-term loans are finding salvation in a government lending program set up to revive housing during the Great Depression.

Countrywide Financial Corp., Washington Mutual Inc., Hudson City Bancorp Inc. and hundreds of other lenders borrowed a record $163 billion from the 12 Federal Home Loan Banks in August and September as interest rates on asset-backed commercial paper rose as high as 5.6 percent. The government-sponsored companies were able to make loans at about 4.9 percent, saving the private banks about $1 billion in annual interest.

To meet the sudden demand, the institutions sold $143 billion of short-term debt in August and September, according to the FHLBs' Office of Finance. The sales pushed outstanding debt up 21 percent to a record $1.15 trillion, an amount that may become a burden to U.S. taxpayers because almost half comes due before 2009.

> The graph for 2007 is only including September. If this pace continues the numbers should be even more shocking.........

> Bedenkt bitte das diese Grafik nur die Zahlen bis einschließlich September beinhaltet. Leicht auszurechnen wie das am Ende des Jahres aussieht.......

The government is ``taking a lot of risks through the Federal Home Loan Banks that are unnecessary,'' according to Peter Wallison, a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Washington-based organization that analyzes public policy, and general counsel at the Treasury Department from 1981 until 1985.

The home loan banks, known as FHLBs, are increasing risks to taxpayers by assuming the role as a lender of last resort, said Wallison. That's the job of the Federal Reserve, he said.

System Shock
A loss of confidence in the companies could prompt investors to dump FHLB debt, potentially causing the collapse of one or more banks, according to Wallison and lawmakers including Representative Richard Baker of Louisiana. If others were unable to meet the liabilities, taxpayers would be on the hook, they said.

The FHLBs are cooperatives created by President Herbert Hoover in 1932 to spur mortgage lending. The system's 8,100 owners and customers range from New York-based Citigroup Inc., the largest U.S. bank, to the single-branch Custer Federal Savings & Loan in Broken Bow, Nebraska. Their government ties support top AAA ratings from Standard & Poor's and Moody's Investors Service.

Bigger Than Government
They borrow in the bond market and lend the money to their members. Federal Home Loan Bank obligations, when combined with the $1.5 trillion debt and $4.7 trillion in bond guarantees of Washington-based Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in McLean, Virginia, are 46 percent more than the $5.04 trillion of Treasury debt held by the public.

Lenders turned to the FHLB as two main sources of funding, short-term IOUs backed by mortgages and mortgage-bond sales, began to dry up in August. That's when losses on securities tied to subprime home loans began to spread throughout the credit markets and investors retreated to the relative safety of Treasuries and their equivalents.

Asset-backed commercial paper outstanding fell 25 percent to $883.7 billion as of last week from $1.18 trillion on Aug. 8, data compiled by the Fed show.

Sales of mortgage bonds, excluding those issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have tumbled by 66 percent to a monthly average of $39 billion from $115 billion in 2006, according to Friedman Billings Ramsey Group Inc., a securities firm in Arlington, Virginia.

`Only Game'
The home loan banks ``were the only game in town for a lot of borrowers,'' said Jim Vogel, head of agency debt research at FTN Financial a securities firm in Memphis, Tennessee. They are ``like an old watch your grandfather left you years ago, and you pull it out of the drawer and find it's the only timepiece you have.''

In July, lenders could raise funds by issuing one-month asset-backed commercial paper that yielded 1.8 basis points less on average than the one-month London interbank offered rate. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

In September, the asset-backed commercial paper, when it was available, cost as much as 51 basis points more than Libor. At the same time, the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York offered one-month funds at an average of 48 basis points below Libor, making their loans more attractive.

The FHLB's outstanding discount notes rose to a record $311 billion in the first three quarters, the most since 2001, according to data compiled by Zurich-based Credit Suisse Group.

Government Ties
FHLB loans probably will continue to grow in the next few months, though at a slower rate than during August and September, said Margaret Kerins, an agency debt strategist at RBS Greenwich Capital in Greenwich, Connecticut.

``Each day we seem to have new financial institutions announcing losses and so this probably isn't over,'' she said.

The home loan banks can lend at below-market rates because their government charter enables them to borrow more cheaply than other financial institutions. The ties to the government suggest the U.S. will bail them out in times of trouble.

The system sold $3 billion of two-year notes on Oct. 26 at a yield of 4.26 percent, or 46 basis points more than Treasuries of similar maturity. Stamford, Connecticut-based General Electric Co., also rated AAA, has $1 billion of notes due a month later that yield 4.6 percent.

Syndicated Global Bond Distribution
For bullet issues –September 1, 2006
thru October 5, 2007

> I would like to see which central bank is buying....

> Ich würde gerne wissen welche Zentralbank da kauft......

Some lawmakers said they are concerned the FHLBs are taking on too much debt after they were unable to account properly for their own risks.

Stricter Oversight?
Five of the banks, including the Atlanta and Pittsburgh branches, restated earnings from 2001 through 2004, while the Chicago and Topeka branches corrected mistakes from 2001 through 2003. All of them fixed accounting errors for financial contracts used to protect against swings in interest rates.

The mistakes at the home loan banks, as well as those at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, prompted Republican lawmakers to spend the past four years pushing for legislation to create a tougher regulator for the government-chartered enterprises. While the House passed legislation in May, the Senate Banking Committee has yet to do so.

The failure to create new laws ``is predicting disaster,'' Baker, a Republican on the financial services panel, said in an interview. The FHLBs ``have the potential for adverse economic impact if not properly administered,'' he said.

No Losses
The banks require borrowers to put up mortgages, mortgage bonds and other assets as collateral. None has experienced ``a credit loss on an advance to a member, ever,'' Ronald Rosenfeld, chairman of the Federal Housing Finance Board, the Washington- based regulator of the FHLBs, said in an e-mail.

The New York bank looks at detailed data on each asset when deciding how much to extend against it and doesn't accept delinquent loans or non-AAA rated bonds as collateral, Paul Heroux, its head of member services said in an interview.

``The home loan banks are extremely low-risk institutions,'' Allan Mendelowitz, one of five directors of the Federal Housing Finance Board, said in an interview. ``There is probably no contingent risk to the taxpayer.''

Investors said the same about mortgage securities, which had home loans as collateral and were given top AAA ratings by S&P and Moody's. Then defaults soared for loans to people with poor credit and some securities fell as much as 80 cents on the dollar.

A collapse would create ``tremendous pressure to have the taxpayer bear the cost of a bailout,'' said Representative Ed Royce, a Republican from California on the House Financial Services Committee.

Maturing Debt
The FHLBs have $276 billion of bonds maturing in 2008 and $174 billion in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The system last week began to refinance about $144 billion of its so-called discount notes sold in August and September with maturities ranging from eight to 12 weeks, FTN's Vogel said.

Borrowing from the system during that period was probably a record for a two-month span, Vogel said. The FHLBs disclose their borrowing at the end of each quarter.

Calabasas, California-based Countrywide, the largest U.S. mortgage lender, almost doubled borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta to $51 billion during the quarter, the company said in a statement last week.

Countrywide began to use the FHLBs in August as analysts at New York-based Merrill Lynch & Co. raised the possibility that the company could go bankrupt after it had trouble raising funds in the commercial paper market. Countrywide later sold a $2 billion stake to Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp., the second-biggest in the U.S. after Citigroup.

Out of Business?
``You don't want to use the phrase `going out of business' in the press, but they would be in a much, much worse liquidity position if they didn't have the Federal Home Loan Bank system sitting out there,'' said Paul Miller, an analyst at Friedman Billings Ramsey Group Inc., a securities firm in Arlington, Virginia.

Washington Mutual, the largest U.S. savings and loan, boosted its borrowing from the FHLBs by $31 billion, the company said this month.

The Seattle-based lender's ``funding flexibility'' put it in ``a much stronger position to withstand the market disruptions of the third quarter,'' Chief Financial Officer Thomas Casey said on a Oct. 17 conference call with investors. Washington Mutual spokeswoman Libby Hutchinson declined to comment further.

Paramus, New Jersey-based Hudson City Bancorp, the third- largest thrift in the U.S., borrowed $800 million from the FHLBs in the third quarter, 25 percent more than a year earlier, said Chief Executive Officer Ronald Hermance.

``Even AAA rated credits were having a tough time issuing paper,'' Hermance said. ``It took everybody back to the Federal Home Loan Banks.''

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