Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Dollar Slumps to Record on China's Plans to Diversify Reserves

After Rogers, Faber, Gross, Buffet & Giselle now China. Don´t know what will get the most press in the US....... I assume that they will soon find a CPI formula to back out the increased costs that will come sooner or later from the weakening $ . Maybe Bernanke shouldn´t run the Fed via the applause meter ( Fleckenstein ) from Wall Street ........ It will be interesting to see how the "vilgilant" (LOL!) bond market will react to the news... And i expect at least one speech from Paulson & Co that the "strong $ policy is still in place" LOL!

Nach Rogers , Faber, Gross, Buffet & Giselle nun China. Bin mir nicht sicher was in den USA mehr Presse bekommen wird..... Höchste Zeit für die Verantwortichen eine CPI Formel zu finden die getsiegene Importpriese aus den Inflationszahlen herausrechnen...... Evtl. wäre es eine gute Idee wenn Bernanke sich mal nicht von Wall Street diktieren läßt was er zu tun hat...... Bin gespannt wie der angeblich so wachsame Bondmarkt (LOL) auf die Neuigkeiten reagiert. Ich erwarte mindestens eine Rede von Paulson & CO das die "Politik des starken $ " weiter bestand hat.... Slapstick pur!

This cover seems to be timeless..... Dieses Titelbild scheint Zeitlos zu sein........

Introducing the Xera:

Thanks to the suggestion put forth by a reader of my daily column, I have come up with the new name for our currency. Henceforth, it shall be called the xera. That's a combination of Xerox, for the piece of Xerox paper that it is; lira, which in the past was one of the world's chronically weak currencies; and, most importantly, the fact that it sounds like zero. That is ultimately where the xera is headed.

via Fleckenstein ( see Blogroll )

Dollar Slumps to Record on China's Plans to Diversify Reserves
Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar slumped to a record low against the euro after a Chinese official said the government will buy better-performing currencies as it diversifies $1.43 trillion of foreign-exchange reserves.

``We will favor stronger currencies over weaker ones, and will readjust accordingly,'' Cheng Siwei, vice chairman of China's National People's Congress, told a conference in Beijing. The dollar is losing its status among the world's currencies, Xu Jian, a central bank vice director, said at the same meeting.

The dollar fell against 14 of the 16 most-active currencies, declining to the weakest versus the Canadian dollar since the end of fixed exchange rates in 1950, a 26-year low against the pound and a 23-year low to the Australian dollar.

China's Reserves
Chinese investors have reduced their holdings of U.S. Treasuries by 5 percent to $400 billion in the five months to August. China Investment Corp., which manages the nation's $200 billion sovereign wealth fund, said last month it may get more of the nation's reserves to invest to improve returns.

``The world's currency structure has changed,'' Xu from the People's Bank of China said at the conference. ``The dollar has been depreciating.'' Cheng, speaking to reporters after his speech, said his comments don't mean China will buy more euros.

The dollar’s slide: 1/3 down and falling faster / FT

  • The US dollar has now lost more than a third of its value (-35%) against a basket of major currencies since Feb 2002.
  • The decline is accelerating. The USD has shed -12.5% of its value in the last year, -3.5% in the last month, and -1.5% in the last week alone.

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``Cheng has a history of speaking out on a range of financial market and economic developments, and his comments are not always accurate,'' said Glenn Maguire, chief Asia economist at Societe Generale SA in Hong Kong.

Cheng's remarks on Jan. 30 that China's stock rally was a ``bubble'' caused the benchmark index to fall the most in almost two years on Jan. 31. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, then over 2,500 points, has since climbed above 5,300.

The dollar's decline helped drive the price of crude oil to a record and gold to a 27-year high, encouraging investors to buy assets in commodity-producing nations. The dollar's 9.8 percent drop against the euro this year boosted the competitiveness of U.S. exports, helping shrink the nation's trade deficit to $57.6 billion in August, the smallest since January.

`Asset Story'
Against the pound, the dollar declined to $2.0955, the lowest since May 1981. It fell to $1.1010 per Canadian dollar. The currency slid against the Australian dollar to 93.89 U.S. cents, the lowest since April 1984 from 92.87 U.S. cents. The U.S. currency also fell to as low as 1.1347 against the Swiss franc, the lowest since December 2004.

``This is an asset story and shows sentiment for the dollar continues to be quite negative,'' said David Forrester, currency economist at Barclays Capital in Singapore.

The Australian dollar gained after the country's central bank raised its benchmark borrowing cost to 6.75 percent today. Governor Glenn Stevens, announcing today's quarter-point rate increase, said inflation will exceed his target.

> Gold is up over 15 bucks to 835$!

Janszen from iTulip on Gold

Thanks Eric!

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